FlournoyRJ: You have just plugged yourself into the mind of Jack Kingston. That's the argument he'll be making over the next eight weeks.
War Eagle, what we're seeing in Georgia at least is the policy difference between tea party types and 'mainstream' Republicans are rapidly diminishing. The biggest distinctions are in tone and experience. It's hard for a veteran lawmaker to claim the tea party mantle.
Re Balfour/Deal: I don't think there's an equivalency here. Don Balfour was on trial. Nathan Deal has been the topic of some bad press. A jury found for a state employee who said she'd been canned for looking into complaints about Deal's campaign. But the direct connection isn't there.
Tea party groups are already claiming credit for Don Balfour's defeat. They helped heighten the attention on his ethics lapses. But Balfour was actually the one on the stand during his trial (he was exonerated on fraud charegs) whereas Deal was not. As Jim said, ethics doesn't usually drive folks to the polls alone. But Carter certainly hopes it h
No, this is a new group whose only object is supporting Nunn. Has local ties. Sorry -- long day yesterday and the brain is a bit fogged.
Was Don Balfour punished for his ethical issues? Does that mean anything for Nathan Deal in November?
But, yeah, you're right, there's a good chance that Democratic outside groups lavish money on Nunn and Jason Carter as well. Nathan Deal hinted as much last night, lamenting how outside dollars from both sides of the spectrum will seek to define the race.
I was just trying to look that up - it's at my fingertips.
A Democratic group has already jumped in on Nunn's side. I'm trying to remember the name. Greg?
Hey Abo, Hank faced one of the biggest challenges yet. But most of the Democratic establishment - including the White House - lined up behind him. Plus, many of Brown's supporters were conservatives or independents more likely to vote in GOP race. That didn't help him at all.
There are many, many more conservative GOPers in the Legislature, and Ralston will still need to give them a say in matters. The difference, I think, is the entry of the business community into Republican primaries. Conservative House Republicans now have to take that into account....
For Centrist: Demography is everything in politics, and long-term, Georgia is headed toward swing-state status.
To The_Centrist, a lot of it depends on how bruising this Senate runoff is. If Perdue and Kingston tear each other apart, it gives Nunn more time to build her case - and avoid the brunt of GOP sniping.
To FlournoyRJ: This is where it gets very interesting. Mike Buck is John Barge's chief of staff, and supports Common Core. Richard Woods is anti-Common Core. If the tea party can regroup and get behind Woods, he'll have the advantage. But your business types -- specifically the Georgia Chamber of Commerce -- will make sure Buck has all the money he needs.
On the superintendent race, it's all about name recognition. Richard Woods ran in 2010 so he has some lingering ID help. And Mike Buck is already well-known in education circles and was the leading vote-getter. His opponents tried to target him as "Barge 2.0" - a reference to the current superintendent.
Possibly. But in my experience, the issue of ethics falls to the wayside in a hyper-partisan contest, which this will certainly be.
Probably not. I think the best that Carter can hope is that the 25 percent of Republicans who didn't vote for Nathan Deal will stay home in November. Deal's opposition (at least David Pennington's) didn't think the governor was conservative enough.
It's funny you ask that, RRC. I can't imagine many tea party types gravitating toward Carter over Deal, but there's a persistent rumor that some tea party organizers will stay out of the race altogether, driving down turnout and depressing Deal's support.